01 / The pattern
Diesel anchor.
Productive
upside.

The pattern.

Diesel displacement creates the anchor commercial case — bankable on its own against current fuel cost and volatility. Oversizing the renewable system above contracted load engineers a surplus envelope. The framework then ranks productive uses against that envelope: desalination, ice, cold-chain food export, water, and resilience capacity each carry distinct value-per-kWh.

Modelled anchor case: diesel displacement at 1.2 MW contracted load returns positive DSCR at GCF concessional rate. The integrated chain is more valuable than the components — the framework captures the integration premium explicitly in CM-4.

~20
Island states with equivalent grid profiles.
SPC · IRENA
CM-4
Microgrid leads · CM-0 secondary.
Inari Protocol
DFI
SPC · ADB · MFAT · GCF concessional stack.
Funding context
1.2MW
Contracted load · diesel displacement anchor.
Modelled
02 / Status
Scoping.
Pilot
conversations.

Status.

Niue is the first-instance Pacific calibration, currently in scoping. Pilot conversations are open with DFI partners. Once Niue is built, the template applies to roughly twenty island states with equivalent grid profiles through parameter swaps. Marginal cost per additional jurisdiction drops by an order of magnitude.

Engage

A pilot, a template, then a programme.

Pacific work typically begins with a single-country pilot funded by DFI or government grant. The framework templates outward once the first calibration is validated. Multi-country programmes follow after the template is proven.

Pilot scoping is typically grant-funded. Subsequent template builds are scoped per jurisdiction.