01 / Decisions
Six decisions
the framework
addresses.

The decisions the framework helps with.

Each decision is grounded in a specific core or cluster. Each has been calibrated at least once. Each is defensible against hostile review.

01 · CM-0

Does productive electricity surplus actually exist, or is it political marketing?

The national waterfall back-tested against 25 years of data settles the question. NZ returns Band A every year 2000–2024.

02 · CM-2 + CM-3

What should we use surplus for — domestic productive use, export, or decarbonising existing industry?

Stage TEA across competing chains identifies where energy advantage concentrates, and which conversions produce qualification advantage downstream.

03 · CM-0 + CM-8

Is our EDGS / scenario / pathway internally consistent?

Scenario assumptions are stress-tested against historical calibration. Internal inconsistencies are surfaced in the methodology appendix, not buried.

04 · CM-10 + CM-14

What is the sovereign capability case for fertiliser, pharma, data centres, defence energy resilience?

The Sovereign Necessities cluster integrates security, supply chain, and economic returns into a single bankability frame.

05 · CM-7 + CM-9

How do we position for regional industrial competition?

State and regional surplus heterogeneity maps to industrial siting strategy. Pilbara, SA, and Queensland present distinct productive-surplus profiles in the AU calibration.

06 · CM-1 + CM-13

What policy levers actually move the dial?

Sensitivity analysis on the largest assumptions identifies high-leverage interventions. Food processing emerged as the #1 sectoral sensitivity in the NZ wealth/TWh decomposition.

02 / Sample work
NZ.
Back-tested.
Specific.

What a calibrated assessment looks like.

The NZ assessment is the worked example. Back-tested against MBIE data from 2000 to 2024, the national waterfall returns Band A every year. EDGS Reference (62 TWh by 2050) and Growth (72 TWh) trajectories remain Band A. Productive abundance requires roughly 90 TWh by 2035.

44TWh
Current annual supply.
MBIE · 2024
90TWh
Abundance threshold by 2035.
Inari Protocol · CM-0
25yrs
Band A back-test 2000–2024.
MBIE · audited
$89.8B
2050 GDP under Abundance Pathway.
Inari Protocol · CM-8
Read the full NZ case
03 / How we engage
Three
principles.

How we engage.

Three principles, plainly stated.

01 · Non-partisan

Across the political spectrum.

The firm works with parties of any persuasion. Methodology is published; conclusions remain the client's. The framework provides the analytical basis for whatever position a party chooses — it does not write the position.

02 · Confidential by default

Policy work is confidential.

Unless and until the client chooses to publish. Methodology is always disclosable; conclusions and recommendations remain the client's. The framework is auditable; the strategic application of it is not.

03 · Defensible methodology

Built to survive cross-examination.

Every assumption documented. Every output reproducible. The framework can survive a hostile peer review or a parliamentary inquiry. That is the point.

04 / Engagement context
Three typical
engagements.

Engagement context.

Three engagement types most common for government and political clients.

Engagement typeDurationPrice band
National or regional surplus assessment (P1)8–16 weeks$150K – $800K
Policy platform analytical support (lightweight P1)4–8 weeks$30K – $150K
Standing instance for in-house use (P5)12–24 wks build
+ ongoing
$200K – $1M build
+ $50K – $150K / yr
Engage

A scoping conversation, not a capability deck.

One hour. We will understand the decision in front of you and propose the right product — or tell you honestly if the framework is not yet a fit.

Engagements with parties out of office run on the same terms as engagements with parties in office.