Under the engagements sits one machine: a typed-graph world-model of how surplus electricity becomes physical value, a staged pipeline that carries a jurisdiction from raw physics to a deployable instrument, and an honesty discipline that keeps every figure as trustworthy as its weakest input. This page is a method explainer — no client work, no returns.
Inari does not start from a spreadsheet of countries. It starts from a typed directed graph: a stack of layers (geology → resource stocks → transformation → value), a small vocabulary of resource types, and a set of enablement edges that say how one resource unlocks another. A library of roughly 20 production chains consumes those resources to produce value, and every jurisdiction simply selects a subgraph — the chains it can realistically run and the resources it has.
That is why one vocabulary describes a 260 km² coral island and a continental federation: only the selected subgraph and the numbers change. And it carries a single organising claim in its edges — cheap surplus electricity is the only resource with outbound edges to several others. Relax the energy constraint and water, soil, protein and refined materials cascade behind it.
Fixed geography — the land and sea a jurisdiction is given. Non-regenerating.
Flows that can be grown or depleted. Energy sits here — with renewables it regenerates, which is what makes it the lever.
The chains operate here — each a way to spend energy (and sometimes other resources) to make something valuable.
Captured economic and sovereign value — the result of the lifting below it.
Each chain ties a piece of engineering physics — the energy needed per unit of output — to its economics and its dispatch flexibility, so it can be sized against a jurisdiction's surplus and ranked by value density.
Every place is scored on the same ten dimensions — renewable endowment, energy-security urgency, institutional quality, transition momentum, export orientation, water–energy tension, and more. One typed structure is what makes an atoll, an island, and a continental grid comparable.
Energy is upstream of everything that can be grown or refined. The foundation — 100% renewables plus storage — gates every downstream edge: nothing runs until surplus electricity is firm and abundant. Relax that one constraint and water, soil, protein and refined materials cascade behind it.
A jurisdiction runs through a staged pipeline — one left-to-right spine. Each stage produces a named output that feeds the one after it, so every claim downstream is traceable to a physical or legal input upstream. The legal stage is the gate: structure is a rules problem before it is an engineering one. The financing and value-assignment stages are held back on public surfaces — shown directionally here, detailed only in engagement.
surplus → techno-economics → confidence bands → legal (gate) → finance (held) → rank → value (held) → instrument
The same spine reads as a dependency topology — five layers, each one built on the canon beneath it. A read-only foundation of ontology and assumptions feeds the surplus model; the surplus model feeds the analysis; the analysis feeds the domain-specific chains; and everything resolves through a single integration layer. Build order runs top to bottom.
Every quantified field travels with a provenance envelope — value, unit, fidelity tier, confidence, evidence, source — so the model's claims are auditable rather than asserted. Where an input is missing, it is shown as an explicit gap and the dependent claim is down-ranked to option-value, never fabricated.
Two rules keep the engine honest. Every figure carries a fidelity tier stating how trustworthy its provenance is — and a composed result is only ever as trustworthy as its weakest input. Most figures Inari publishes are screening-to-feasibility grade; bankable grade exists, but it is shared under NDA, not published. The gating is on publication, not on the engine's reach.
Indexed to the achievable surplus (= 100), the chart reads left to right: what is recoverable, what survives conversion, the uplift from coordinating it, and the value that stays in the jurisdiction. Bands and relative deltas only — the engine never publishes absolute magnitudes for large interconnected grids.
Indicative figures for triage and first contact — enough to rank options and classify a jurisdiction, not to bank a project.
Backed by real sources and calibrated to the jurisdiction — the feasibility-grade readout that survives a board, IC, cabinet or coalition partner.
The grade a transaction is built on. The engine runs through to it — but it is shared only under NDA, once calibrated for a specific deal.
The second rule is F1, a hard magnitude discipline. Isolated island micro-grids may state absolute surplus and curtailment figures. Continental grids and nations are treated relative-only — value is expressed as a delta versus an idealised, frictionless "copper-plate" baseline (same assets, better rules), and the absolute-magnitude slot is suppressed with a note rather than asserted. Together the two rules guard both ends: the fidelity ladder guards inputs against inflated confidence; F1 guards outputs against over-claiming on big interconnected systems.
The same typed graph is read by two systems. The analytical engine reads it as the structural skeleton of what is possible; a strategy game reads it as its world-model — the resource types are its resources, the enablement edges are its tech unlocks, the chains are its buildable structures. Because both read the same canon, the analysis and its playable explanation never drift apart: a chain that needs energy-then-water in the engine needs the same in the game.
Reads the ontology as the source of truth for what is structurally possible, joins in calibrated numbers, runs the pipeline, and produces screening records, feasibility readouts, and instrument designs.
Consumes a frozen, read-only copy of the same graph as its world-model. Land-poor, marine-rich islands play that way; energy gates the build the way it gates the analysis. The playable explanation of the method.
A scoping conversation is the right first step. An hour to understand the question, then a screening classification — or an honest signal that the framework isn't a fit yet. We will not ship a generic capability deck.
A scoping call is free. Published figures are screening-to-feasibility grade — never investment, financial, or legal advice.